Bitcoin (BTC) and most major altcoins continue to be pinned below their respective overhead resistances, indicating that bears are selling on rallies.
According to Ki Young Ju, CEO of on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, “whales are depositing Bitcoin to exchanges.” Curiously, the outflows from the exchanges have also continued and due to this, the reserves are still hovering close to their lowest levels since mid-2018.
In a somewhat contradictory report, Glassnode said that long-term holders may be “reducing their spending, and thus are more likely to be adding to positions, not exiting them.”
The moving averages have completed a bearish crossover and the relative strength index (RSI) continues to languish in the negative territory, signaling that bears have the upper hand.
If the price slips below $55,317, the selling may intensify and the BTC/USDT pair could drop to the $52,500 to $50,000 support zone. The bulls are likely to defend this zone aggressively but the subsequent rebound may face selling at the 20-day exponential moving average ($60,084).
This negative view will invalidate if the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the downtrend line. The pair could then attempt to resume the uptrend.
Ether (ETH) rebounded from close to the neckline of the developing head and shoulders (H&S) pattern on Nov. 22. The rebound off the neckline reached the 20-day EMA ($4,337) on Nov. 23, which is acting as a strong resistance.
This indicates that bulls are accumulating at lower levels. The buyers tried to clear the overhead hurdle on Nov. 23 but the bears again defended this level aggressively. The price is currently hovering near the 20-day EMA.
If the price turns up from the current level and breaks above $605.20, the BNB/USDT pair could attempt to challenge the resistance at $669.20. If this level is crossed, the pair could retest the all-time high at $691.80.
On the contrary, if the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the bears will again try to pull the pair to the 50-day SMA. A break and close below this support could signal the start of a deeper correction.
Solana (SOL) broke below the 20-day EMA ($219) on Nov. 22. The bulls pushed the price back above this level on Nov. 23 but could not sustain the higher levels. This indicates that bears are defending the 20-day EMA.
The downsloping moving averages and the RSI near the oversold zone indicate that bears are in control. The ADA/USDT pair could now drop to the strong support at $1.50 where the buyers are expected to step in.
On the upside, the bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA to indicate that the selling pressure may be reducing. The trend may turn in favor of the bulls on a break and close above the downtrend line.
XRP rebounded off the psychological support at $1 on Nov. 23 but the bulls have not been able to push the price to the 20-day EMA ($1.10). The shallow bounce indicates that bears continue to sell on every minor relief rally.
The frequent retest of a support level tends to weaken it. The moving averages have completed a bearish crossover and the RSI is below 40, indicating that bears are in command.
If the price breaks and closes below $37.53, the DOT/USDT pair will complete a bearish H&S pattern. The pair could then start a deeper correction toward $26.
Conversely, if the price rebounds off the current level, the bulls will make one more attempt to overcome the barrier at $43.56. If they can pull it off, it will signal that the sellers may be losing their grip.
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Dogecoin (DOGE) bounced off the critical support at $0.21 on Nov. 23 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears continue to sell near the downtrend line.
The AVAX/USDT pair has started a correction that could find strong support in the zone between the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $112.63 and the 20-day EMA ($103).
If the price rebounds off this zone, it will suggest that sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips. The bulls will then make one more attempt to push the pair above the all-time high and resume the uptrend.
Alternatively, a break and close below the 20-day EMA will signal that supply exceeds demand. The pair could then drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $91.39.
Crypto.com Coin (CRO) has been in a strong uptrend for the past few days. The vertical rally has pushed the RSI close to 90, indicating that the rally is overheated in the short term. This could result in a minor correction or consolidation for a few days.
CRO/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The up-move may witness profit-booking near the psychologically important barrier at $1. If that happens, the CRO/USDT pair could start a correction. The first major support on the downside is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.73.
Generally, vertical rallies are followed by sharp declines. If the price breaks below $0.73, the correction may extend to the 61.8% retracement level at $0.59. Conversely, if the price bounces off $0.73, the bulls will make one more attempt to resume the uptrend.
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Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.